3 Mid-Cap Stocks We Approach with Caution

via StockStory
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Many investors pay attention to mid-cap stocks because they have established business models and expansive market opportunities. However, their paths to becoming $100 billion corporations are ripe with competition, ranging from giants with vast resources to agile upstarts eager to disrupt the status quo.

This is precisely where StockStory comes in - we do the heavy lifting to identify companies with solid fundamentals so you can invest with confidence. Keeping that in mind, here are three mid-cap stocks to pass on and some alternatives you should look into instead.

J. M. Smucker (SJM)

Market Cap: $14.04 billion

Best known for its fruit jams and spreads, J.M Smucker (NYSE:SJM) is a packaged foods company whose products span from peanut butter and coffee to pet food.

Why Do We Pass on SJM?

  1. Shrinking unit sales over the past two years show it’s struggled to move its products and had to rely on price increases
  2. Forecasted revenue decline of 2.3% for the upcoming 12 months implies demand will fall off a cliff
  3. Low returns on capital reflect management’s struggle to allocate funds effectively, and its falling returns suggest its earlier profit pools are drying up

J. M. Smucker’s stock price of $131.42 implies a valuation ratio of 13x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why SJM doesn’t pass our bar.

Regal Rexnord (RRX)

Market Cap: $10.71 billion

Headquartered in Milwaukee, Regal Rexnord (NYSE:RRX) provides power transmission and industrial automation products.

Why Are We Hesitant About RRX?

  1. Sales tumbled by 2.4% annually over the last two years, showing market trends are working against it during this cycle
  2. Absence of organic revenue growth over the past two years suggests it may have to lean into acquisitions to drive its expansion
  3. Below-average returns on capital indicate management struggled to find compelling investment opportunities

At $161.19 per share, Regal Rexnord trades at 13.5x forward P/E. If you’re considering RRX for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Penske Automotive Group (PAG)

Market Cap: $14.32 billion

With a diverse global network spanning the US, UK, Canada, Germany, Italy, Japan, and Australia, Penske Automotive Group (NYSE:PAG) operates automotive and commercial truck dealerships across the globe, selling new and used vehicles while providing service, parts, and financing options.

Why Do We Steer Clear of PAG?

  1. Disappointing same-store sales over the past two years show customers aren’t responding well to its product selection and store experience
  2. Gross margin of 13% is an output of its commoditized inventory
  3. Earnings per share fell by 10.1% annually over the last three years while its revenue grew, showing its incremental sales were much less profitable

Penske Automotive Group is trading at $218.16 per share, or 15.6x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with PAG, check out our full research report (it’s free).

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Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,460% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+1,154% between June 2020 and June 2025). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

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